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Authors: 超级管理员 | Edit: liuwenjun
The reporting period covers the harvesting of wheat, which started in late October, as well as the preparation of land and planting of the 2019/20 maize.
Rainfall was 62% above average, with the amount recorded in October above both fifteen-years average and fifteen-years maximum. Both temperature and radiation were close to average. The conditions resulted in a slight increase in BIOMSS (+3%) but CALF fell by about 23%. In the southern part of the country, the NDVI development graph shows below-average crop conditions during the entire monitoring period. The VCIx was just 0.63.
The spatial distribution of the NDVI profiles reveals diverse behaviors. 71.2% of the cropped area, including most the southern provinces of Cuando, Cubango, Cunene and Huila had negative anomalies during the entire period. A positive NDVI anomaly persisted throughout the reporting period in Uige, Zaire, Kwanza Norte and Benguela Provinces, accounting for 15.6% of the total cropped area. The remaining regions registered complex spatial patterns with a mixture of negative, positive and about average NDVI anomalies but all underwent a significant drop in late October.
Nationwide, the crop condition was unfavorable. The high precipitation had a significant negative impact on wheat but will benefit the recently planted maize.
Regional Analysis
CropWatch subdivides Angola into five zones based on cropping systems, climatic zones and topography. They are referred to as Arid zone, Central Plateau, Humid zone, Semi-arid zone and Sub-humid zone. A mixture of double and single cropping characterizes the Humid and Subhumid zones. In these zones, the cropping intensity increased by about 9% and 5%, respectively. Remaining areas practice single cropping. The Arid zone is of marginal relevance for crops.
All the agro-ecological regions have recorded significant increases of rainfall above average during the reporting period. The Humid zone recorded the highest increases (up 108%). Except for the Arid zone, all regions recorded a slight decrease in the temperature. The radiation increased everywhere. With CALF decreasing in all the agro-ecological zones with the exception for the humid zone, the NDVI development graphs indicate bellow average crop conditions during the entire period in these regions. Compared with average, only slight variations in biomass were verified in all the agroecological zones. Considering, in addition, VCIx suggests poor crop prospects. However, the high rainfall has benefited the range-land and created favorable conditions for the ongoing planting of Maize.
In the Humid zone, where NDVI indicates favorable conditions from early august until the end of the monitoring period, crop prospects are excellent as the maximum VCIx reached 1.0 and CALF did not register any variations.
Figure 3.6. Angola’s crop condition, July-October 2019
(a) Phenology of major crops
(b) Crop condition development graph based on NDVI (c) Maximum VCI
(d) Spatial NDVI patterns compared to 5YA (e) NDVI profiles
(f) National time-series rainfall profiles (g) National time-series temperature profiles
(h) Crop condition development graph based on NDVI (Arid zone (left) and Central Plateau (right))
(i) Crop condition development graph based on NDVI (Humid zone (left) and Semi-arid zone (right))
(j) Crop condition development graph based on NDVI - Subhumid zone
Table 3.3.Angola's agroclimatic indicators by sub‐national regions, current season's values and departure from 15YA, July - October 2019.
Region | RAIN | TEMP | RADPAR | BIOMASS | ||||
Current (mm) | Departure from 15YA (%) | Current (°C) | Departure from 15YA (°C) | Current (MJ/m2) | Departure from 15YA (%) | Current (gDM/m2) | Departure from 15YA (%) | |
Arid Zone | 142 | 55 | 22.1 | 0.2 | 1339 | 1 | 590 | 7 |
Central Plateau | 248 | 58 | 18.4 | -0.5 | 1394 | 3 | 299 | -9 |
Humid zone | 652 | 23 | 23.5 | -0.5 | 1285 | 3 | 660 | 1 |
Semi-Arid Zone | 69 | 108 | 21.0 | -0.1 | 1409 | 1 | 318 | 4 |
Sub-humid zone | 324 | 66 | 21.9 | -0.3 | 1314 | 1 | 472 | 4 |
Table 3.4. Angola's agronomic indicators by sub-national regions, current season's values and departures, July to October 2019
Region | CALF | Cropping Intensity | Maximum VCI | ||
Current(%) | Departure from 5YA (%) | Current (%) | Departure from 5YA (%) | Current | |
Arid Zone | 16 | -37 | 61 | -30 | 0.51 |
Central Plateau | 36 | -12 | 99 | 1 | 0.71 |
Humid zone | 100 | 0 | 125 | 9 | 1.02 |
Semi-Arid Zone | 13 | -52 | 86 | -8 | 0.53 |
Sub-humid zone | 56 | -15 | 119 | 5 | 0.70 |