The sowing of winter wheat in Kyrgyzstan was completed in October. Between October and January, the CropWatch agro-climatic indicators, RAIN (-52%) and TEMP (-1.7°C) were below average, while RADPAR was near average (+4%). The combination of these factors resulted in decreased BIOMSS (-22%) compared to the fifteen-year average. As shown by the NDVI development graph, the vegetation conditions were close to average during October but far below average starting in mid-November. The spatial NDVI clustering profile shows that in the northern region, the large area marked with red colour experienced a decrease in November and an increase in January. The situation is largely confirmed by the VCIx with a nationwide VCIx average at 0.82. The spatial map of VCI shows low values (<0.8) in the Chuy and North Osh, while high values were observed in the central part of Naryn Region. Agro-climatic and agronomic conditions were mixed with CALF at 21%, 33% higher than average.

Overall, the crop conditions in Kyrgyzstan are assessed as below average due to the drier-than-normal conditions.

Figure 3.25 Kyrgyzstan's crop condition, October 2020 to January 2021

(a) Crop phenology

(b) Crop condition development graph based on NDVI

(c) Maximum VCI

(d) Spatial NDVI patterns compared to 5YA                 (e) NDVI profiles

(f) Time series rainfall profile

(g) Time series temperature profile

Kyrgyzstan agro-climatic indicators, current season's values and departure from 15YA, October 2020 to January 2021

Kyrgyzstan agronomic indicators, current season's values and departure from 5YA, October 2020 to January 2021