During August and through to early October,poor crop condition occurred in Egypt, particularly towards the end ofSeptember according to the crop condition development graph.

The CropWatch Agroclimatic Indicators showedthat rainfall (+159%) was far above average but temperature (+0.2°C) and RADPARwere near average. The cropped arable land fraction (CALF) and the croppingintensity were stable during the reporting period. Considering the aboveanalyses, we infer that lower-than-average summer crop condition may be relatedto non-climatic factors, such as disease and insect attacks. According to NDVIprofiles and spatial NDVI patterns, 67% of croplands werecontinuously below the average level in the Nile valley, north-western Egyptand the central and southern Delta. Crop yields in Egypt are just fair andbelow the recent five-year average.

Figure3.11. Egypt crop condition, July-October2015

(a)Crop condition development graph based on NDVI                       (b) maximum VCI

(c)Spatial NDVI patterns compared to 5YA                                       (d) NDVI profile