The reporting period covers the growth and harvest of wheat and maize. On the whole, crop conditions were below the 5-year average throughout the whole monitoring period. Among the CropWatch agro-climatic indicators, RAIN (+24%) increased largely, RADPAR (+1%) was slightly above average, while TEMP (-0.2 ℃) was below average. The combination of these factors resulted in a slightly below-average BIOMSS (-1%). as compared to the 15YA. The time series precipitation profile shows that precipitation was higher than average and even exceeded the 15-year maximum in early July. The temperature profile indicates that temperatures were a bit lower than the 15-year average in middle July, early to middle August and October. The spatial NDVI clustering profile shows that only 15.5% of the cultivated area (marked in blue) had average or above-average crop conditions, the remaining cultivated area all had below-average crop conditions. 42% of the cultivated area (marked in orange and dark green) had below-average crop conditions at the beginning of the monitoring period and then had the tendency to recover to near-average crop conditions. 10.4% of the cultivated area had close-to-average crop conditions, and then the crop conditions dropped to a even lower level at the end of the monitoring period, mainly located in northeastern Osh, eastern Talas, south eastern Jalal-Abad and central Naryn. The spatial pattern of maximum Vegetation Condition Index (VCIx) was in accord with the spatial distribution of the NDVI profiles. CALF decreased by 11% and the nationwide VCIx average was 0.73, which is in line with the unfavorable NDVI trend. Cropping intensity is 99%, slightly down 1%. Crop conditions in Kyrgyzstan can be assessed as unfavorable, and the crop prospect is not promising.

Figure 3.38. Kyrgyzstan’s crop condition, July‐October 2021

a) Crop phenology

(b) Crop condition development graph based on NDVI

(c) Maximum VCI

(d) Spatial NDVI patterns compared to 5YA                                 (e) NDVI profiles

(f) Time series rainfall profile

(g) Time series temperature profile

Table 1. Kyrgyzstan agroclimatic indicators by sub-national regions, current season's values and departure from 15YA, July - October 2021

Table 2. Kyrgyzstan agronomic indicators by sub-national regions, current season's values and departure from 5YA, July - October 2021