Bulletin

CropWatch bulletin
2.11 IndonesiaChapter 2: Countries Outlook

Authors: lijunbin | Edit: yannn

According to the CropWatch monitoring results (Figure 2.10), during the monitoring period, the total rice production in Indonesia reached 7.44 million tons, an increase of 5.92% compared to the same period in 2025. Although the planted area of rice decreased slightly by 1.46% year-on-year during the period, the rice yield achieved an increase of 7.50%. The improvement in yield compensated for the production gap caused by the slight reduction in planted area and was the main factor influencing the growth of total rice production in Indonesia.

From the perspective of agroclimatic and agronomic indicators, the CALF during the monitoring period was 97%, a slight decrease of 2% compared with the 5-year average. Meteorological elements showed a characteristic of "sufficient light and temperature, decreased precipitation". The cumulative precipitation during the monitoring period was 782mm, which was lower than the 15-year average but still sufficient to meet crop water requirements; the average temperature rose slightly by 0.1°C, and the RADPAR was 2% higher. Favorable photosynthetic conditions promoted photosynthesis and the transfer of dry matter to grains during the grain-filling stage of rice, which was conducive to the improvement of yield levels. The CropPI-11 was 1.0, indicating that the crop condition during the monitoring period was at a normal level. In addition, the increase in yield is also closely related to agricultural measures such as Indonesia's promotion of high-yielding and stress-tolerant rice varieties and the repair and upgrading of farmland irrigation facilities.

In summary, rice production in Indonesia during the monitoring period showed a trend of "slight decrease in area, improved yield, and increased total production". Suitable agroclimatic conditions, such as light and temperature, provided a foundation for yield improvement, and the effective growth in yield ultimately ensured the increase in total rice production.

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Figure 2.10 Spatial distribution of rice in Indonesia during the monitoring period.