CropWatch monitoring results show that, during the monitoring period, the rice planted area in Indonesia was 1,448.88 thousand hectares, down 8.03% from the same period in 2025. Rice yield was 3,906 kg/ha, up 3.65% year-on-year, while total production was 5.6592 million tons, down 4.67% year-on-year (Figure 2.15). Although yield increased, it did not fully offset the production loss caused by the reduction in planted area. Therefore, the decline in planted area was the main factor leading to the decrease in Indonesia’s total rice production.

In terms of agro-climatic and agronomic indicators, cumulative rainfall in Indonesia during the monitoring period was 642 mm, 17% below the average of the past 15 years, indicating a reduction in natural precipitation, but it was still sufficient to meet the needs of rice growth. The average temperature was 26.4°C, 0.2°C above the 15-year average, suggesting generally suitable thermal conditions. Photosynthetically active radiation was 709 MJ/m², 3% below the 15-year average, indicating slightly weaker radiation conditions. Affected by weaker radiation, potential cumulative biomass reached 1,329 gDM/m², 8% below the 15-year average, suggesting that meteorological conditions imposed certain constraints on rice dry matter accumulation. In terms of agronomic indicators, the cropped arable land fraction decreased by 2% compared with the average of the past five years, which was consistent with the reduction in rice planted area. The maximum Vegetation Condition Index was 0.89, and CroPI3 was 1.0, indicating that crop growth conditions during the monitoring period were generally close to the recent average, while relatively favorable field conditions supported the improvement in yield.

Overall, rice production in Indonesia during the monitoring period showed a pattern of “decreased area, increased yield, and reduced total production.” Suitable temperature conditions and relatively favorable vegetation conditions helped maintain rice yield levels, but below-average rainfall, weaker radiation, and reduced potential cumulative biomass still constrained yield formation to some extent.

图2.15  2026年印度尼西亚旱季稻水稻单产