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Authors: 超级管理员 | Edit: zhuweiwei
Russia experienced very favorable climate conditions from April to July (VCIx=0.96). The winter wheat harvest in the country began in July, while the planting of maize and spring wheat started in April and May. The Cropped Arable Land Fraction was closed to last five-year average (above 100%). In general, Russia experienced cool and wet conditions over the recent four months. Precipitation exceeds the recent average (RAIN, +19%), and the temperature was significantly lower than average (-1.4°C). Mainly due to weather condition, the BIOMSS indicator rose 13% over its five-year average. As shown in the NDVI crop condition development graph for the country as a whole, NDVI was close to the five-year maximum, and crop condition is generally favorable in most parts of Russia’s cropland. Maize and soybean production are expected to increased 4.7% and 4.3%, respectively, over 2016 production, while wheat is estimated to have a production increase of 2.4% compared to last year. Regional analysisFor Russia, closer monitoring is provided for seven regions, namely the Kalingrad region, Caucasus, Volga region, Central region, Southern Urals, South Siberia, and Northwest region. Kalingrad, Volga, and Central and Northwest region Kaliningrad (labeled 94 the map), Volga (97), Central area (98), and Northwest area (101) all experienced extremely wet and cold weather conditions, with rainfall departures in these areas all exceeding +20%, while the temperature departure was below -1°C. According to the crop condition development graph based on NDVI, crop condition was close to the five-year average in most areas except Volga. The average NDVI in the Volga region was similar to the five-year average from June. The crop condition in these areas is favorable. Caucasus, Southern Ural, and South Siberia Unlike most parts of Russia, the rainfall in the Caucasus (95), Southern Urals (99), and South Siberia (100) was close to average (RAIN departure below +6%). The only area in Russia where temperature was more favorable than average was the South Siberian area, and this was just +0.5°C. Due to the agro-climatic conditions, the VCIx in Caucasus and South Siberia is just above 0.92. Crop condition in these two areas is assessed as average Figure 3.27. Russia crop condition, April-July 2017 |
Figure 3.27a. Russia phenology of major crops
Figure 3.27b. Russia national level crop condition development graph based on NDVI, comparing the April-July 2017 period to the previous season and the five-year average (5YA) and maximum
Figure 3.27c. Russia maximum VCI for April-July 2017 by pixel
Figure 3.27d. Russia spatial NDVI patterns up to July 2017 according to local cropping patterns and compared to the 5YA (left) and (e) associated NDVI profiles (right)
Figure 3.27f. Kalingrad (Russia) crop condition development graph based on NDVI
Figure 3.27g. Caucasian (Russia) crop condition development graph based on NDVI
Figure 3.27h. North Subarctic area (Russia) crop condition development graph based on NDVI
Figure 3.27i. Volga (Russia) crop condition development graph based on NDVI
Figure 3.27j. Central area (Russia) crop condition development graph based on NDVI
Figure 3.27k. South Urals area (Russia) crop condition development graph based on NDVI
Figure 3.27l. South Siberian area (Russia) crop condition development graph based on NDVI
Figure 3.27m. Northwest area (Russia) crop condition development graph based on NDVI
Table 3.67. Russia agroclimatic indicators by sub-national regions, current season's values and departure from 15YA, April-July 2017
Regions Name | RAIN | TEMP | RADPAR | |||
Current (mm) | Departure from 15YA (%) | Current (°C) | Departure from 15YA (°C) | Current (MJ/m2) | Departure from 15YA (%) | |
Kalingrad (Russia) | 334 | 31 | 12.7 | -1.6 | 1054 | -5 |
Caucasus (Russia) | 257 | 6 | 17.2 | -1.3 | 1200 | -2 |
Northern Subarctic (Russia) (前面介绍的没有这个区域吧?) | 345 | 16 | 11.8 | -1.1 | 1069 | -4 |
Volga (Russia) | 321 | 54 | 12.5 | -2.5 | 1072 | -7 |
Central area (Russia) | 304 | 24 | 12.4 | -2.6 | 1022 | -8 |
Southern Urals area (Russia) | 239 | 2 | 12.7 | -1.0 | 1099 | -3 |
South Siberian area (Russia) | 229 | -4 | 12.7 | 0.5 | 1192 | -1 |
Northwest area (Russia) | 346 | 30 | 10.4 | -3.1 | 963 | -9 |
Table 3.68. Russia agronomic indicators by sub-national regions, current season's values and departure from 5YA, April - July 2017
Regions Name | BIOMSS | Cropped arable land fraction | Maximum VCI | ||
Current (gDM/m2) | Departure from 5YA (%) | Current | Departure from 5YA (%) | Current | |
Kalingrad (Russia) | 1355 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0.94 |
Caucasus (Russia) | 1018 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0.92 |
Northern Subarctic (Russia) | 1276 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0.98 |
Volga (Russia) | 1227 | 35 | 1 | 2 | 1.01 |
Central area (Russia) | 1259 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0.98 |
Southern Urals area (Russia) | 1026 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.98 |
South Siberian area (Russia) | 975 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 0.91 |
Northwest area (Russia) | 1349 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0.99 |
Table 3.69. CropWatch-estimated maize, rice, wheat, and soybean production for Russia in 2017 (thousand tons)
Crops | Production 2016 | Yield variation | Area variation | Production 2017 | Production variation |
Maize | 12337 | 4.7% | 0.0% | 12918 | 4.7% |
Rice | 1017 | 4.7% | 0.0% | ||
Wheat | 57506 | 2.7% | -0.2% | 58912 | 2.4% |
Soybean | 2099 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 2190 | 4.3% |