The crops in Indonesia generally show poor condition between May and July. The monitoring period covers the whole harvest of the main rice and rainy season maize, as well as secondary rice. Compared with the recent average, RADPAR and TEMP were slightly above average (+3% and +0.3◦C, respectively). As a result of El Niño conditions(see also section 5.4), a significant rainfall (RAIN) deficit of 19% was recorded; consequently, biomass production expectations (BIOMSS) were far below average (-23%). According to the NDVI clusters, crop condition in Sumatra Selatan, Jambi, and Riau was above average from May to July, while the rest ofthe country experienced unfavorable conditions (low precipitation and high temperature). The maximum VCI map confirms that crop condition was bad in NusatenggaraTimur, Jawa Tengah, Jawa Timur, and other islands in the southern part of thecountry. National NDVI profiles also show poor crop condition in the monitoring period. Altogether, CropWatch estimates that dry conditions have caused yieldreduction in this season’s crops.

Figure3.15. Indonesia crop condition, April-July2015

(a)Crop condition development graph based on NDVI                      (b)Maximum VCI

(c)Spatial NDVI patterns compared to 5YA                                                 (d)NDVI profiles