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Authors: 超级管理员 | Edit: xingqiang
During the current monitoring period, sowing of winter crops was completed under generally favorable weather conditions, although drier conditions than usual has been experienced for the MPZ (24% drop in rainfall compared to average and a PAR increase of 4%). The crop condition deteriorates from north to south, with poor conditions in the southern Ukraine and southern part of western Russia.
As indicated by the rainfall profiles, the extreme south of western Russia (including the republics of Karatchayevo-cherkesiya,Kabardino-balkariya and Severnaya Osetiya-alaniya) shows two peaks in rainfall:one well marked in mid-October, one diffuse in southern Poland and southwest Romania in September. Temperature profiles show correlated variations in Romania, Poland, Ukraine, Belarus, and western Russia. From August to October the temperature fluctuated but was generally low at the end of the period.
The scarce rainfall led to a significant drop in potential biomass for the whole MPZ (17% compared to the five-year average). On the distribution map of the potential biomass, a large positive biomass departure would be expected for the central part of the MPZ (including most parts of Belarus, Ukraine, and western Russia), while a positive biomass production pattern is observed in southern Poland, western Romania, and adjacent areas in Ukraine.
Accordingly, VHI-based drought profiles show worse moisture condition compared with the previous monitoring period.Ninety-two percent of the arable lands in August to November 2014 are cropped,at the same level as the five-year average, maximum VCI (0.75) is lower compared with other regions. Generally, crop condition is favorable but slightly below expectations in the southern part of the MPZ.
Figure 2.6 illustrates the CropWatch agro climatic and agronomic indicators for the MPZ.