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Authors: 超级管理员 | Edit: xingqiang
At the time of reporting, the bulk of the maize, rice,wheat, and soybean harvest is over. Table 4.2 lists the estimated production numbers for maize, rice, wheat, and soybean in China for 2014, with estimates based on remote sensing, agricultural statistics, and other ground data.Details for China’s rice production—distinguishing single, early, and late rice—are provided in table 4.3. Single-crop rice (one cropper year) is mainly located in the Northeast, Central, and Eastern China and Sichuan province, while double-crop rice is found in Southern China. Areas with three crops occur in the south of China, such as Guangdong and Guangxiprovinces.
The production of maize and soybean in China is estimated to decrease in 2014 compared with the previous season, while wheat production(including winter wheat and spring wheat) is estimated to increase by 1%. Maize production is expected to reach 201 million tons, which represents a decrease of 1% when compared to 2013, mainly due to a decrease in yield. Soybean production will reach 13.1 million tons, with a drop of 1% because of the decrease in harvested area compared to last year’s. Rice production is stable:the production of single rice increases, while the production of early rice falls (table 4.3).
Out of seventeen monitored provinces, only Chongqing,Guizhou, Heilongjiang, Jiangsu, and Ningxia have an estimated increase in maize production above 2%. On the contrary, Gansu, Yunnan, and Inner Mongolia record the largest decreases in maize production because of a combination of reduced area and decreased yield due to drought. Liaoning and Henan are the two provinces with the largest decreases (-4%) in maize yield due to the severe drought in August.
Soybeans in Henan show the largest drop in production, as both area and yield are low. Due to an increase in area, soybean production in Jilin rises by an estimated 2%.
Table 4.2. China, 2014production (thousand tons) and difference with 2013 (percentage)
| 2014 | Δ% | 2014 | Δ% | 2014 | Δ% | 2014 | Δ% |
Anhui | 3632 | -4 | 17151 | 3 | 11375 | -2 | 1098 | 0 |
Chongqing | 2099 | 3 | 4785 | 1 | 1119 | -2 |
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Fujian |
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| 2812 | 1 |
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Gansu | 4604 | -7 |
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| 4490 | -4 |
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Guangdong |
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| 11073 | 2 |
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Guangxi |
|
| 10983 | 2 |
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Guizhou | 5004 | 6 | 5148 | 1 |
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Hebei | 16237 | -2 |
|
| 10609 | -2 | 172 | -1 |
Heilongjiang | 26303 | 3 | 20231 | 4 | 1460 | -7 | 4586 | -1 |
Henan | 16008 | -4 | 3895 | 1 | 25747 | -1 | 737 | -5 |
Hubei |
|
| 15912 | 3 | 4450 | -3 |
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Hunan |
|
| 25394 | 5 |
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Inner Mongolia | 14360 | -5 |
|
| 5762 | -2 | 836 | -1 |
Jiangsu | 2227 | 3 | 16569 | 3 | 9501 | 1 | 781 | -2 |
Jiangxi |
|
| 17365 | 4 |
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|
|
|
Jilin | 24032 | 0 | 5022 | 1 |
|
| 660 | 2 |
Liaoning | 12889 | -3 | 4709 | 1 |
|
| 511 | -2 |
Ningxia | 1797 | 7 | 545 | 0 | 2315 | 5 |
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Shaanxi | 3870 | -3 | 1040 | 0 | 3953 | -8 |
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Shandong | 18356 | -1 |
|
| 21886 | 1 | 659 | -5 |
Shanxi | 9593 | -2 |
|
| 2095 | -5 | 187 | -3 |
Sichuan | 7101 | 1 | 14676 | 3 | 4596 | 2 |
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Yunnan | 5613 | -5 | 5332 | 1 |
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Zhejiang |
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| 2786 | 1 |
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|
Sub-total | 173725 | -1 | 185430 | 0 | 96393 | 1 | 10227 | -1 |
Other 12 provinces | 18226 | 0 | 15740 | 1 | 19140 | 3 | 2852 | -1 |
China total | 191952 | -1 | 201167 | 1 | 119735 | 1 | 13079 | -1 |
Note: Δ%=percentage difference with 2013.
As shown in table 4.3, the single-crop rice production decreases in Shaanxi (-1%) and Henan province (-5%) due to drought. Yield dropped in both provinces due to drought, while in Henan, areas were affected as well. In Ningxia, the single rice production increases by 18% due to an increase in cultivated area and yield.
Overall, CropWatch puts the combined production of the main cereals (wheat, rice, and maize) in China for 2014 at 513 million tons.Combined with an estimated 51 million tons of other crops including tubers,legumes (including 13 million tons of soybean), and other minor cereals such as millet, the total estimated production for China is 564 tons—a modest decrease compared to 2013 (-0.1%). The total output for summer crops is projected at 405million tons, a decrease of 1.8 million tons (-0.5%) compared with 2013. The main decease comes from the decreased yield of maize due to the severe drought developed in July and August, particularly in Liaoning, Henan, and Inner Mongolia.
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| 2014 | Δ% | 2014 | Δ% | 2014 | Δ% |
Anhui | 13448 | 3 | 1910 | -1 | 1792 | 1 |
Chongqing | 4785 | -2 |
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Fujian |
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| 1680 | 0 | 1132 | -1 |
Gansu |
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Guangdong |
|
| 5207 | -1 | 5866 | 1 |
Guangxi |
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| 5428 | -1 | 5556 | 2 |
Guizhou | 5148 | 0 |
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Hebei |
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Heilongjiang | 20231 | 1 |
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Henan | 3895 | -5 |
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Hubei | 10688 | 1 | 2399 | -2 | 2826 | -1 |
Hunan | 8338 | 3 | 8278 | -3 | 8777 | -1 |
Inner Mongolia |
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Jiangsu | 16569 | -1 |
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Jiangxi | 2876 | 3 | 7297 | 2 | 7192 | -1 |
Jilin | 5022 | -1 |
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Liaoning | 4709 | 0 |
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Ningxia | 545 | 18 |
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Shaanxi | 1040 | -1 |
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Shandong |
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Shanxi |
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Sichuan | 14676 | 1 |
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Yunnan | 5332 | 5 |
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Zhejiang |
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| 1509 | -1 | 1277 | -1 |
Sub total | 117302 | 1 | 33708 | -1 | 34418 | 0 |
Other provinces | 12865 | 3 | 1679 | -1 | 1196 | 8 |
China | 130167 | 1 | 35387 | -1 | 35614 | 0 |
Anhui |
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Chongqing | 2014 | Δ% | 2014 | Δ% | 2014 | Δ% |
Fujian | 13448 | 3 | 1910 | -1 | 1792 | 1 |
Gansu | 4785 | -2 |
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Guangdong |
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| 1680 | 0 | 1132 | -1 |
Guangxi |
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Guizhou |
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| 5207 | -1 | 5866 | 1 |
Hebei |
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| 5428 | -1 | 5556 | 2 |
Heilongjiang | 5148 | 0 |
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Henan |
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Hubei | 20231 | 1 |
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Hunan | 3895 | -5 |
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Inner Mongolia | 10688 | 1 | 2399 | -2 | 2826 | -1 |
Jiangsu | 8338 | 3 | 8278 | -3 | 8777 | -1 |
Jiangxi |
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Jilin | 16569 | -1 |
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Liaoning | 2876 | 3 | 7297 | 2 | 7192 | -1 |
Ningxia | 5022 | -1 |
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Shaanxi | 4709 | 0 |
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Shandong | 545 | 18 |
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Shanxi | 1040 | -1 |
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Sichuan |
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Yunnan |
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Zhejiang | 14676 | 1 |
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Sub total | 5332 | 5 |
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Other provinces |
|
| 1509 | -1 | 1277 | -1 |
China | 117302 | 1 | 33708 | -1 | 34418 | 0 |
| 12865 | 3 | 1679 | -1 | 1196 | 8 |
| 130167 | 1 | 35387 | -1 | 35614 | 0 |